Prediction of Botrytis cinerea Risk in Vineyards Based on Weather Indicators
Abstract
Botrytis cinerea causes grey mould, a major disease occurring in vineyards worldwide, resulting in loss of grape production and wine quality. Predictive models of favorability of Botrytis cinerea were used. Therefore, a series of meteorological data from 2010 to 2019 was used. The results showed that the frequency of years with low risk of Botrytis cinerea was 10%, medium risk 10%, high risk 80%. The disease can drastically reduce both yield and wine quality (Ribereau Gayon et al., 1980). The harvest years 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014, favored the manifestation of an attack degree of 62.9% (2012) and 34.2% (2013). Positive correlations were observed in the case of Broome index and Bacchus index with the duration of sunlight (r2 = 0.935), respectively (r2 = 0.944) and the sum of the hours of moisture on the leaves (r2 = 0.833, r2 = 0.848). Based on the results a model for prediction of Botrytis cinerea risk will be developed.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
a) Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
b) Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
c) Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).
